The Fourth Power Doctrine: France Completes the Eastern Mediterranean Centre. Poseidon’s Wrath Enters Ankara’s War Calculus
by Shay Gal
(Founder and Principal of Line of State, a strategic practice working with governments, institutions and decision-makers on strategy, risk, access and security decisions in high-stakes environments. He previously served as Vice President of External Relations at Israel Aerospace Industries)
Copyright: @ 2026 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 18 July 2026
Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies
The Eastern Mediterranean needs a centre, not a patron. Israel, Greece and Cyprus are it.[1] They read Turkey as a system that converts geography into leverage, NATO membership into insulation, occupation into depth, migration into pressure and defence exports into reach. Without European power, Ankara reduces their alignment to a local coalition, recasts a systemic threat as bilateral disputes and negotiates each crisis back to its latest gain..... Read more

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