HOMELAND SECURITY

Why Early Assessments of Limited Military Operations Exhibit an elevated risk of analytical distortion.

Julio Enrique PALACIO
(Lieutenant Colonel, Joint Command of the Armed Forces, Argentina)

Copyright: @ 2026 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 11 January 2026

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies.

Introduction

The U.S. military operation in Venezuela reported on January 3, 2026 serves as a contemporary illustrative case of a timeless problem: contradictory judgments issued within 72 hours. For some, it was a “brilliant tactical success”; for others, a “predictable strategic failure.”¹ This phenomenon is not new. Limited military operations display a recurring pattern: categorical strategic judgments issued within days are later refuted or substantially qualified.² This study examines why such assessments exhibit an elevated risk of analytical distortion and how Intelligence can mitigate the problem... Read more

Joshua Hunt
(RIEAS Senior Analyst, Austin Peay State University, Tennessee, USA)

Copyright: @ 2025 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 24 June 2025

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

California, a U.S. State, continues to suffer from deeply rooted systemic issues with violent crime, many of which stem from its fragmented immigration enforcement and political obstruction of coordinated law enforcement. While the state bears direct responsibility for its choices, the federal government has also failed to assert consistency and operational control. Both levels of government have allowed the situation to spiral by misaligning priorities, underutilizing intelligence, and letting political identity override security imperatives.... Read more

Dr. Alexander Drivas
(International Relations & International Security Analyst)

Copyright: @ 2025 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 1 June 2025

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies

It is necessary to admit that every subject that is derived from the so-called “hybrid war”, it is very difficult to be defined. In both Theory and Methodology of International Relations we need to define concepts and essences because it is essential to conduct a framework. Without a definition (with relative clarity) it is almost impossible to observe, analyze and solve a problem. The great difficulty comes when the restricted clarity of a definition affects negatively the framework or the scheme that we want to conduct. Hybrid War is an excellent paradigm of this kind of difficulty.... Read more

(Marios Tzafaris has graduated from Politics & International Relations Department of Peloponnese University, with focus on International Relations and Strategic affairs. He has also pursued a MA in Global Challenges & Analytic systems, in the same Department focusing on intelligence -deception & risk analysis procedures. He held a security vacancy in the refugees' camp of Samos island)

Copyright: @ 2025 Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 24 March 2025

Note: The article reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the views of the Research Institute for European and American Studies.

Abstract

The refugees’ flow, is indisputably a crucial matter of social-politics environment, reflecting vast consequences upon the global system, and among others, the European states and the EU as a whole considering that by the end of 2024 more than 120 million of people were displaced from their homes.[Refugee Statistics, USA for UNHCR, The UN Refugee Agency,2024.]In this article, the researcher aims to approach and describe the aspects of this international phenomenon.... Read more

by Lt. Gen. Syed Ata Hasnain
(Former Commander of India’s Kashmir Corps)

Copyright @ 2024 https://newlinesinstitute.org/nonstate-actors/india-and-israel-a-comparison-of-how-the-two-countries-address-hybrid-war/

Note: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and not an official policy or position of the New Lines Institute.

Note: The article is reposted at the Research Institute for European and American Studies (RIEAS)
on 7 August 2024.

Conflict stabilization precedes conflict termination. However, the process of urging, enabling, applying pressure to, or ensuring this transition is beset with challenges. Each nation handles those differently based on its strategic outlook, its degree of political sagacity, and the confidence acquired over a period of handling turbulence in different ways. For example, India and Israel have different methods of approaching the conflicts in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) and the Palestinian Territories. Read more

Release Date: September 19, 2023

Copyright @ https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/09/19/secretary-mayorkas-announces-establishment-homeland-intelligence-experts-group?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

Experts Group to provide advice and perspectives on intelligence and national security efforts to the Office of Intelligence and Analysis and the Office of Counter-terrorism Coordinator to support DHS’ vital work to protect our country
WASHINGTON – Today, U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Alejandro N. Mayorkas, Under Secretary for Intelligence and Analysis (I&A) Ken Wainstein, and Counter-terrorism Coordinator Nicholas Rasmussen announced the establishment of the Homeland Intelligence Experts Group (Experts Group). The group is comprised of private sector experts who will provide their unique perspectives on the federal government’s intelligence enterprise to DHS’s I&A and the Office of the Counter-terrorism Coordinator....Read more