THE PARIS ATTACKS REFLECT INTELLIGENCE FAILURE, NOT CHANGE IN ISIS STRATEGY
by Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
(Research fellow at Middle East Forum's Jihad Intel project)
Copyright: Middle East Forum (www.meforum.org) Republication date on RIEAS (www.rieas.gr) on 28 November 2015
The recent attacks in Paris carried out by the Islamic State have led to widespread speculation about a possible shift in strategy on the part of ISIS. Taken in conjunction with the downing of a Russian passenger plane over the Sinai and the bombings in the predominantly Shia Dahiyeh suburbs of Beirut, it is argued that ISIS is lashing out at the "far enemy" as it comes under pressure on the home fronts in Iraq and Syria, such as its recent loss of control of Sinjar, a town that formed part of a key route connecting the de facto ISIS capitals of Raqqa in Syria and Mosul in Iraq. Read more
EUROPEAN UNION INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS CENTRE (INTCEN): NEXT STOP TO AN AGENCY?
John M. Nomikos
(RIEAS Director, Editor, Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Intelligence)
Copyright: Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Intelligence (JMBI)- http://www.rieas.gr/intelligence-journal - Publication date: 22/11/2015.
European intelligence cooperation is the most important weapon in the fight against the new threats in the 28 EU member states. The article emphasizes the reasons that make the European Union Intelligence Analysis Centre (INTCEN) move towards an independent operational agency into the EU mechanism. Even though, effective intelligence cooperation is hard to achieve even at the national level as different services compete for resources and attention from the decisions makers, past terrorist incidents in Europe served as a wake up for the European Commission to promote intelligence-sharing and cooperation among EU institutions and Member States. Read more (Article) & (References on EU Intelligence)
ENDING ISLAMIC STATE’S REIGN OF TERROR
Monapo Mokose & Hussein Solomon
(Department of Political Studies and Governance,
University of the Free State, Republic of South Africa)
Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) – Publication date on 14 November 2015
The advent of the month of June in 2014 coincided with an occasion that injected into the global community, a terror and distress whose intensity would only be aggravated by the corresponding events that succeeded it. Mosul, Iraq's second largest city was captured, with the Shia-dominated Iraqi forces that had been instated there, driven out (Baloch, 2015: 13). The architecture of this occasion, the Islamic State (ISIS) would go on to declare itself to be a worldwide caliphate on the 29th of that same month (African Defence Forum, 2015: 38). Read more
TURKEY’S NOVEMBER 2015 ELECTION: WINNERS AND LOSERS
Anthony Derisiotis (PhD)
(Lecturer in Turkish Foreign Policy, Department of Turkish and Modern Asian Studies, School of Economics and Political Sciences, University of Athens, GR)
Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 8 November 2015
After 5 turbulent months and contrary to expectations that it will again fall short of winning the majority vote, the Justice and Development party secured 49.4% of the vote and 317 seats in the 550-seat Turkish parliament, thus securing a generous majority but not the 367 seats that would pave the road for the government to proceed to the transition to a presidential system, or the 330 seats that would allow a referendum, in line with President Erdoğan's aspirations. The Republican People's party, which is the main opposition, did not succeed substantial improvement, whereas the nationalistic MHP and the pro-Kurdish People's Democratic Party (HDP) saw their votes dropping sharply...Read more
GREEK SECURITY CHALLENGES IN 2016: A SYNOPSIS
Tassos Symeonides, Ph.D.
Copyright: Research Institute for European and American Studies (www.rieas.gr) Publication date: 1 November 2015
In 2016 Greece will enter the sixth year of the debt crisis. The Greeks economy shows no sign of revival. Socially, Greece has experienced an unprecedented collapse that continues unabated. Unemployment remains above 25 percent, with the government massaging the figures at will to prove otherwise. The average family has lost at least 40 percent of its pre-crisis income. The internal devaluation, forced upon the country by Europe and the IMF, has caused a catastrophic collapse in property values. Politically, the situation remains brittle. The Syriza government has lost its claimed identity as a "radical left" party since it accepted the third bailout in July 2015, which is now universally recognized as another debacle and an exercise of "kicking the can down the road." Opposition parties are in disarray, save the neo-Nazi Golden Dawn, and disabled as alternatives to the Syriza government...Read more
THE ESSENCE OF COLLABORATION: THE IC EXPERIENCE
Randolph H. Pherson, Pherson Associates & John Mclntyre, ODNI
Copyright: 2009 Pherson Associates, LLC. All Rights Reserved. www.pherson.org
Republication on RIEAS web site (www.rieas.gr) on 19 October 2015
"In today's increasingly complex and interdependent world, no one person or organization has a monopoly on what is needed to get the job done."
Since the stand-up of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) in 2005 and with the completion of the ODNI 500 Day Plan in late 2008, the Intelligence Community has laid the foundation for transforming itself into a collaborative, integrated Community that can provide mission-advantage to policymakers, warfighters, and law enforcement to protect the nation's security. Read more