Special Correspondent

Copyright: www.rieas.gr

Recent events in Iran have highlighted the fact that even the toughest, most entrenched dictatorship is unavoidably subject to the law of Physics that determines the effect of materials fatigue. All vehicles have a strictly determined performance envelope. Once certain figures that define basic materials cohesion have been exceeded, the process of disintegration begins. The speed of this disintegration is determined by many factors, almost all beyond the control of the driver.

Iran's theocrats are certainly not students of Physics – or History, for that matter. Their narrative is exclusively based on supposedly God-given truths that leave no room for human interference. That's why they cannot, and won't, see the cracks in their own vehicle. Their state model is alien to the world of the 21st century. Whether the turbaned Iranian leadership wants it or not, global dynamics are not subject to their particular version of divine revelation. This hard fact makes the mullahs even more dangerous as they try to compensate for the lack of longer term regime stability with totalitarian measures against their domestic opposition and elaborate plans for the support of international terrorism abroad.

For the past thirty-odd years, we have heard a variety of theories from Western politicians and analysts trying to effectively find non-existent common ground with the mullahs. We have heard repeatedly, for example, that the ayatollah regime is “pragmatic” in its foreign relations. We have also been told, especially here in Europe, that “communication” rather than confrontation would ensure less friction with the robed controllers of some of the world's most prolific reserves of oil and natural gas. All these benign theories of bilateral relations with a regime that uses cranes to hang death penalty sufferers, and would commit “infidelity” female perpetrators to death by stoning, consciously ignored Iran's leading role in sustaining various Islamic feral terrorist groups as well as its consistent push to develop nuclear technologies for “peaceful purposes.”

As we speak, Iranian hardliners, beginning with the chief ayatollah and the president who just got re-elected with a little help from his revolutionary guard friends, are striking the “Aha” note most familiar with dictatorships which, suddenly, begin to feel threatened: it is “foreign enemies” who fuel the anti-regime demonstrations and it is the CIA that has shot and killed the young woman who, in her bloody video-captured death, has become the unwilling symbol of the Iranian revolt against the mullahs.

Dictatorships inescapably fall. Their departure is almost never peaceful. Iran's regime, because of its God-given self appointment, promises its opponents a particularly nasty bloodbath. The regime security forces are well supplied, heavily armed, and unfailingly motivated by Islamic fanaticism. But there is nothing they, or their religious council commanders, can do to change the laws of Physics – or the incredible push of the lowly mobile phone. Many similar organizations in the past claimed inviolability and complete mastery of what they defined as their eternal future only to be relegated, usually in one final violent spasm, to an unmarked and thankfully forgotten tomb.

The first act of the final play of the Iranian ayatollah regime has just finished. It is a shame that many more simple Iranian people, whose only demand is freedom from the shackles of the Dark Ages, shall perish before the ultimate curtain call for the ayatollahs and their version of the Apocalypse.